I got tired and listening to all the pundits scoff at Senator Clinton's claim that she was winning the popular vote. So I did a little figuring of my own. Using MSN.com's
vote tally, I calculated the number of votes that Senator Clinton and Senator Obama have each received up to this point. In general, all I did was add things up and see whose number was bigger. However, there were a couple of technical points I had to decide on as I went, so let me explain my methodology:
The Michigan question: Despite my intense reservations, I went with the prevailing trend and gave all of the undecided voters to Obama.
When states have both caucuses and primaries: I didn't feel it was fair to count both vote totals in these instances. After all, there's a very good chance that counting both totals gives some two votes. So, for states with both primaries and caucuses, I only counted the vote totals that MSN listed as determining delegate counts for that state. For example, Idaho has vote totals listed for both a primary and a caucus. However, according to MSN the caucus determined the delegate allocation for the state. So I used the caucus numbers and disregarded those of the primary. This was also my strategy for Nebraska, Texas, Washington and West Virginia.
What about Guam and Puerto Rico: For some reason, MSN lists no numbers for the Guam caucuses. Since Guam does send delegates to the convention, however, I still counted their vote tally in the overall numbers for popular vote. Same for Puerto Rico. I got Guam's popular vote numbers here.
So. What's the verdict?
Clinton 16,990,039
Obama 16,869,544
She leads by 120,495 votes.
For all you naysayers out there, here is an alternate total. If all of the caucus and primary votes are counted (meaning some folks get two votes in the relevant states), here are the new totals:
Clinton 17,384,146
Obama 17,318,037
She still leads by 66,109 votes.
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